| (PREVIEW) Product and Process Design for Supply Chain Management Module SCM106 |
|||
|
|
SCM106: Product and Process Design for Supply Chain Management
© 2003 - 2010 Supply Chain Online, LLC
...When looking at demand for your own products, it is wise not to make qualitative assumptions regarding independence without checking the numbers carefully. A medical device company was recently surprised to learn that demands across its different product lines were highly correlated; they had incorrectly thought that sales across product lines would be independent! Some reasons for this could be sales-force incentives or quarterly budget targets; whatever the cause, correlation of demands reduces the benefit of risk pooling. The results of the "quick estimate" formula for values of N from 1 to 25 are plotted in the figure below. Note that for high values of N there are large reductions in safety stock: There are three short exercises below. Use the menu below to try each one:
Suppose your company's sales for the last 12 months were as follows (some rows may be blank):
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||